Pamu: This Pakistan keeps on poking us in one way or the other. We have been tolerating it, since the day of its creation. It continues to spread terrorism, secessionism, drug addiction and what not in our land. It frustrates me and makes me angry a lot.
What should we do to completely end this menace?
Vir: Yes , Certainly it is true that Pakistan is irritating neighbour that no one would like to have. It is also true that it is responsible for various problems that we are facing. Not only that our conflictual relationship is responsible not only for Pakistan’s backwardness, but also for backwardness of South Asian region. India remains a land of unrealized potential.
Pamu: Now look at it. It is now puppet of aggressive panda called China. China is clearly manipulating Pakistan at will. It is clear that, China will use it to prevent the rise of India. Won’t it?
Vir:Certainly, it will. And that is all the more clear. It is real threat for our nation i.e, India.
Pamu: How is it so?
Vir: It is all the more clear. There is real threat of two front war for India. And we should not forget the fact that both nations are nuclear powered states. And you know there is other real threat.
Pamu: what is it?
Vir: Look, Pakistan faces real identity crisis. Pakistan has no real identity. It is the result of the colonial legacy. Unlike India, Pakistan has no real history. India’s history is Pakistan’ history as well. It is being identified as mere part of India. It has no real history, unique culture or even ethnicity. And if you observe, identity is prime basis for formation and sustenance of any nation.
Pamu: But, Pakistan was created as a nation for muslims on subcontinent, wasn’t it?
Vir: Yes, it was. But, look at India. Look the number of muslims, who call India as their home. India chose to be secular unlike Pakistan.
Pamu: Hmmm… that is true. But what is problem in it?
Vir: Problem is that, it will go to any extent to assert it’s identity as independent nation with unique identity and not as a part of India. For instance, it will try to spread lie like Muslims in India are insecure, which is lie. Using that propaganda it will try to foment social schism and likewise.
Pamu: Ha.. and it will damage India’s standing at international stage.
Vir: Ha…
Pamu: Then how do we manage Pakistan trouble? Isn’t there any way out?
Or this enmity will keep on going for generations to come?
Vir: For Pakistan issue, we can explore multiple options.
Pamu: I don’t know, but I always feel like wiping it out from the world map.
Vir: No, that cannot be the option. We have no issues with people of Pakistan, who are mostly innocents. They are continuously being fed with anti-India propaganda. It is being done primarily those elites, who are being benefitted from India-Pakistan rivalry.
Pamu: Hmmm.. then what should we do?
Don’t we have any other option.?
Vir: Certainly, we do.
Look, one of the most important dispute is over the border other than identity crisis that Pakistan faces. Mere resolution of border dispute will not solve the dispute unless identity crisis is resolved.
Pamu: Then, what?
Should we keep on suffering cuts given by Pakistan?
While they kill innocent people, we exercise restraint. This is not going to work.
Vir: Never, we should not. Look such attacks from such a nation tarnishes our image. Now that talk is enough.
Let’s explore some of the ways to check Pakistan’s attempt to debase our nation.
Pamu: Hmm, let’s do it.
Vir: First, option is to begin talk with the Pakistani establishment, which primarily includes military. Such dialogue may help us resolve disputes in peaceful manner.
But the problem here is that, we will have to sacrifice Pakistan occupied Kashmir (PoK) region, Gilgit-Baltistan as well. And this will not be acceptable. Also no politician would want to go down in history as the one responsible for loss of territory.
Pamu: Regardless, aren’t we talking since independence with almost no results?
Vir: Yes, we are. We are talking because we respect international laws, institutions, and regimes. In post World War-2 world order, war has become less preferred. But now in 21st century that situation seems to be changing. Like, we are seeing Russia-Ukraine crisis, where instead of adhering to international laws, there is use of military power. There is very real threat of use of nuclear power.
Pamu: But, what it has got to do with India-Pakistan?
Vir: a lot, my friend …a lot.
Pamu: How…?
Vir: Post WW-2 order was based on some rules, institutions like United Nations, IMF et cetera.
But now, nations themselves are taking lead like using hard power to achieve national interest. So what I am trying to say is that talking will not yield any result. Also, if we agree on some arrangement, then who will enforce it.
Pamu: Ohhhh… that’s true.
Vir: Also, Pakistan’s establishment, primarily military uses dialogue to recoup it’s strength for fresh attacks. You must have heard it’s policy of thousand cuts, where it aims to carry our covert operations to damage India.
Pamu: But, why?
Vir: Simply, because it cannot win conventional war with us. So it has to go for dirty warfare.
Pamu: Then, what is other option.
Vir : We can go to United Nations or ask for third party mediation.
But, here as well we will lose PoK. Also, in Shimla Agreement, it is agreed that dispute will be resolved bilaterally.
Pamu: So, isn’t there any other way?
Viru: Obviously, there is. And the way which I have in my mind is more preferable considering the change in world order.
Pamu: Then, tell me.
Vir: This option is kind of protracted operation, which require immense preparation, patience and persistence.
Pamy: Ohhh. What is it?
Vir: It includes several steps.
Firstly, we need to become economic powerhouse. With it we can allot considerable amount in development of our military infrastructure including nuclear arsenal.
While, on other Pakistan’s economy is deteriorating. We need to ensure it, which will help reduce it’s commitment for military infrastructure.
Pamu.: Then what?
Vir: Then on one hand our might will increase, while relative decrease in the power of Pakistan.
Pamu: OK, then what after that?
Vir: Then, we will occupy PoK region with swift military operation.
Pamu: But, Pakistan is nuclear weapon state.. what about it? I believe it will not hesitate to use it. Pakistan does not even have policy of No First Use, unlike India.
Vir:Ha.. this is where our technological advancements will come into play.
We will have to develop capacity to decapacitate nuclear power of Pakistan.
Otherwise, we can hack and disrupt all critical infrastructure of Pakistan.
But, we need to be very swift. Extended war will be futile.
Pamu: But, is that even possible?
Vir: Certainly, I believe that it is possible.
Pamu: But, what about China?
Vir: Hmmm.. that is real challenge.
Pamu: So, how will we tackle it?
Vir: Firstly, here we need to minimize power asymmetry that we have with China. Then China question can be handled in more diplomatic manner.
Even for China, Pakistan is burden rather than asset. Pakistan is also a failed state. China need access to Arabian sea, through Gwadar port to tackle it’s Malacca dilemma. Here we can negotiate with China, to not to intervene in Pakistan issue.
Look, if we are powerful then we can make China agree.
Pamu: Hmm… that is also true.
Vir: But, this option has several conditions.
Pamu: What are those?
Vir: Firstly, it cannot be done immediately, it is atleast 2-3 decades away.
Secondly, our economy, polity, society as well as military power should grow considerably.
Thirdly, we should make sure that our military operation is swift. It should not be extended and resource draining like Russia’s Ukraine campaign.
Fifthly, and importantly India should develop credible global image. So that, when we execute this operation, there should be no condemnation of it. Rather, India’s action should look justified.
Pamu: But, that looks too difficult.
Vir: Ha, but not impossible.We need to do it, so that we can have peaceful future.
Pamu: Hmm. That is also true. Hopefully we will achieve it.
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November 3, 2023